Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
The Winds of Winter 69.9%
The Winds of Winter 69.9%Tahminciler
31
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multiple choice
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Gecikmeli4 Haz 24 18:07 UTC1 Oca 27 05:59 UTC
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Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Which book will be released first; between "winds of winter", "Doors of Stone", and "Thorn of Emberlain"?
Manifold MarketsWill George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?
PolymarketThe Winds of Winter: Release date announced this year?
KalshiWinds of Winter released before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill half life 3 release before The Winds of Winter?
Manifold MarketsAny one of Half Life 3, the Winds of Winter, or Elder Scrolls 6 announced before the end of 2026
Manifold MarketsKurallar
Resolved upon release.
- In the event the book's name is changed, the next novel-length sequel in either series will win.
- (For example, if Rothfuss releases a surprise KC prequel that is not functionally the third book in his projected trilogy, that would not resolve YES--but if he just renames the third book "I hate writing here's the book give me my money and go away," that would resolve YES.)