Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 97.4%
Tahminciler
36
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
10 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis21 Nis 25 13:08 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
The Winds of Winter: Release date announced this year?
KalshiWill George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?
PolymarketWill half life 3 release before The Winds of Winter?
Manifold MarketsWhich will be released first, The Winds of Winter (ASoIaF #6) or Doors of Stone (KC #3)?
Manifold MarketsAny one of Half Life 3, the Winds of Winter, or Elder Scrolls 6 announced before the end of 2026
Manifold MarketsWill Netflix Studios Fort Monmouth Phase 1B be completed before winter 2028?
KalshiKurallar
Resolution criteria:
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if George R.R. Martin's novel The Winds of Winter is officially published on or before December 31, 2026.
- The market will resolve to "No" if the novel is not published by that date.
- Official publication is defined as the book being made available for purchase by the general public in any format (print, digital, or audio) through recognized retailers or platforms.
- The Winds of Winter is the anticipated sixth installment in George R.R. Martin's epic fantasy series, A Song of Ice and Fire.
- The previous book, A Dance with Dragons, was released in 2011.
Açık piyasalar
EntertainmentKALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,1 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,1 Mn
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+6.5pt73.3%
- 940 - 950m-5.5pt22.8%
- 970m++0.6pt2%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+15.0pt57%
- Jack Barton-13.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-10.0pt16%
+27 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺102,2 Mn
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+29.4pt51.4%
- No Bond chosen-3.9pt18.1%
- Jack Barton-4.5pt7.6%
+21 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-58.0pt16%
- Above 50-61.0pt4%
- Above 55-51.0pt2%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺4,6 Mn
KALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey-3.0pt39.2%
- Dune: Part Three-1.0pt9.6%
- The Black Ball-1.0pt8.8%
+35 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺238,3 Mn
- Big Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series
Sık sorulan sorular
- Winds of Winter released before 2027? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 97% fiyatlıyor.
- Winds of Winter released before 2027? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Winds of Winter released before 2027? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- Winds of Winter released before 2027? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria: