Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini2027 USAMO and MOP 72.8%5 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
9
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
20 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis1 Haz 26 18:02 UTC31 Ara 26 18:56 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Which of the following will I achieve in the 2026-2027 TST Cycle?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketAll Millennium Prize Problems solved before May 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill a millennium problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiKurallar
Resolves yes to any of these that I achieve.
- If I do not attend pumac, hmmt, cmimc, or arml, the corresponding questions will resolve N/A. previous results:
- Pumac 2025 17th NT, 17th Combo HMMT 2026 79th place, top 50 in algnt and combo CMIMC 2026 5th place geo, few points off of top 10 overall (176 vs 184) ARML 2026 7/10, 11 10 11 11 00 USAJMO 2026 qual (through protection) and mop 30/42
- i reserve the right to bet on this market (but of course i will try my hardest on each of these)
Açık piyasalar
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+1.2pt86%
- Before 2030+6.0pt82%
- Before 2029-29.5pt48%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺12,9 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺4,4 Mn
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 202921%
- Before 202813%
- Before 2027-0.1pt5%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,6 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺2 Mn
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 314%
- September 30-0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+11.0pt56%
- Before 203248%
- Before 2030-19.0pt44%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺6,2 Mn
KALSHIHow many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Above 0+3.0pt48%
- Above 1-2.0pt18%
- Above 2-6.0pt8%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No95%
- Yes+1.0pt5%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺91,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺160,1 B
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- Major volcano eruption in 2026?
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Which of the following will I achieve? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla 2027 USAMO and MOP için 73% fiyatlıyor.
- Which of the following will I achieve? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Which of the following will I achieve? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- Which of the following will I achieve? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolves yes to any of these that I achieve.