Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiUSA Rare Earth 54.8%12 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
11
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
20 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis13 Eki 25 12:01 UTC20 Oca 29 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration
KalshiWhat will the U.S. withdraw from during the Trump Administration?
KalshiWill DeSantis have a role in Trump’s administration?
Manifold MarketsWill the Trump administration defy any SCOTUS ruling before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsCourt packing during Trump administration?
Manifold MarketsWhich companies will the US take a stake in?
PolymarketKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" for any company in which the United States Federal Government, under the Trump administration, acquires a direct equity stake.
- A "direct equity stake" is defined as the US Federal Government owning shares of the company's stock, resulting from an investment, bailout, or other financial transaction that confers ownership.
- The stake must be publicly disclosed through official government channels (e.g., Treasury Department announcements, SEC filings) or widely reported by reputable financial news organizations (e.g., The Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg, Reuters).
- The market will resolve "No" for any company that does not meet this criterion by January 20th, 2029.
- ("Trump administration" colloquially refers to the 47th administration.)
Açık piyasalar
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.0pt86%
- Yes-1.0pt14%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺702,8 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺11,1 Mn
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt41%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-14.0pt36%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-15.0pt32%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T20.6%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.6%
- $1.5T–$1.75T18.6%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺5,9 Mn
KALSHIHow many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
- At least 3+16.0pt87%
- At least 267%
- At least 4+20.0pt66%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
- Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
- OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- Will Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority?
- Space Exploration Technologies' Market Cap end of September 2026?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Which companies will the Trump administration take a stake in? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla USA Rare Earth için 55% fiyatlıyor.
- Which companies will the Trump administration take a stake in? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Which companies will the Trump administration take a stake in? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 20 Ocak 2029.
- Which companies will the Trump administration take a stake in? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria