KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
$40 trillion 100%+0.4pt6 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
49 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺10,2 B
Likidite
₺1,9 Mn
Yüksek likiditeSpread
7.0 pt
Geniş spreadPiyasa verileri
7 dakika önce güncellendi
16 Tem 26 20:45 UTC31 Mar 29 15:00 UTC
Trendler
100%
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will the US national debt surpass 42 trillion during Trump's presidency?
Manifold MarketsPeak US National Debt before 2027?
PolymarketWhat will the U.S. withdraw from during the Trump Administration?
KalshiWill DeSantis have a role in Trump’s administration?
Manifold MarketsWill the Trump administration defy any SCOTUS ruling before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the US National Debt exceed $47 Trillion by the end of FY 2030?
ForecastExKurallar
If the U.S. federal debt increases to 40 trillion for any quarter in Q4 2024 to Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:FRED
- If the U.S. federal debt (GFDEBTN) increases to 42.5 trillion for any quarter in Q4 2024 to Q4 2028 (inclusive), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the U.S. federal debt increases to 45 trillion for any quarter in Q4 2024 to Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the U.S. federal debt (GFDEBTN) increases to 47.5 trillion for any quarter in Q4 2024 to Q4 2028 (inclusive), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the U.S. federal debt increases to 50 trillion for any quarter in Q4 2024 to Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the U.S. federal debt (GFDEBTN) increases to 52.5 trillion for any quarter in Q4 2024 to Q4 2028 (inclusive), then the market resolves to Yes.
Açık piyasalar
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺39,6 Mn
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.5pt48.3%
- October 31-1.0pt29.2%
- September 30-2.0pt11.7%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance45.1%
- Marco Rubio-1.0pt19.6%
- Ron DeSantis+0.1pt4.9%
+35 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺3,1 Mr
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt84.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt15.8%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,4 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺15,7 Mn
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.1pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.1pt14%
+48 daha fazla sonuç
- $LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla $40 trillion için 100% fiyatlıyor.
- Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Mart 2029.
- Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If the U.S. federal debt increases to 40 trillion for any quarter in Q4 2024 to Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.