Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiNot accepted anywhere by EOY 2026 55.9%6 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
2
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
14 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis10 Nis 26 15:20 UTC31 Ara 26 16:19 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Where will this paper be accepted? (Black Mirrors:CPT-Symmetric Alternatives to Black Holes by Tzanavaris, Boyle, Turok)
Manifold MarketsIn which journal will this paper be accepted in 2026? (Milos and Pérez)
Manifold MarketsAre naked singularities from spinning black holes physically possible?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiKurallar
This market refers to the paper "Do Black Holes Exist?" by Leonardo Modesto, Edoardo Rattu.
- An answer resolves to Yes if the paper is accepted to be published in that journal before the end of 2026.
- (The paper does not have to be published by the end of 2026; it only needs to be accepted.)
Açık piyasalar
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+10.0pt85%
- Before 203076%
- Before 2029+17.3pt49%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺11 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,3 Mn
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 301%
- April 300%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
- Before 202812%
- Before 2027+0.2pt5%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,6 Mr
- 24s Hacim
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺91,4 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺291,7 B
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+65.0pt99%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETHow many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
- 0-19.0pt47.6%
- 1+24.5pt40.8%
- 3+6.0pt6.8%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- When will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Where will this paper be accepted? (Do Black Holes Exist? by Modesto, Rattu) için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Not accepted anywhere by EOY 2026 için 56% fiyatlıyor.
- Where will this paper be accepted? (Do Black Holes Exist? by Modesto, Rattu) ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Where will this paper be accepted? (Do Black Holes Exist? by Modesto, Rattu) için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- Where will this paper be accepted? (Do Black Holes Exist? by Modesto, Rattu) nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market refers to the paper "Do Black Holes Exist?" by Leonardo Modesto, Edoardo Rattu.