When will the Russian invasion of Ukraine end? ($1000M sub)
ChainlinkOne-OffOrta DoğuRusya / UkraynaJeopolitik4y
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıKaynak verileri bozulmuş
23 Eki 2026 00:21 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Güncel topluluk tahmini2030+ 24.3%8 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
251
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
14 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis2 Eki 23 10:56 UTC31 Ara 30 12:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
If Ukraine holds an election while the Russian invasion of Ukraine is ongoing, who will win?
Manifold MarketsWhat is more likely to happen in the russian invasion of Ukraine by 2027
Manifold Markets[Metaculus] Will the next Russian leader disapprove of the Russian invasion of Ukraine?
Manifold MarketsUS ground invasion of Iran before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
PolymarketUS x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketKurallar
I will resolve based on the (de facto) end date on this Wikipedia page:
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russo-Ukrainian_war_(2022%E2%80%93present)
- I will wait until the end date has been the same for a full 7 day period.
- If the article is renamed, split or merged I will update the link above to the closest equivalent article.
- I will resolve in line with the Wikipedia editors unless it's clear that this is not in line with the "spirit" of the question.
- The spirit of the question is about when the armed conflict substantially stops regardless of who controls what territory.
