Of the top 18 jobs in the US in the year 2022, which one will be first to lose at least 1/2 of its workers?

ChainlinkOne-OffYZ Teknoloji1y

Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibre

Güncel topluluk tahmini

Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers (2022 value: 2.0m) 18.9%

18 seçenek arasında lider

Tahminciler

Soru türü

multiple choice

Yöntem

Play-money forecasting platform

Kaynak türü

Tahmin

7g Değişim

0.0 pts

Piyasa verileri

6 saat önce güncellendi

Guncelligini yitirmis

19 Ara 23 21:33 UTC18 Tem 28 05:59 UTC

Trendler

Sonuç24sOlasılık

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Which of these jobs will be the first to decline to less than 50% the number of workers it had in May, 2022?

So, every year we check the result (looks like the reports are annual, in May) and look at the decrease levels.
If there is a decrease such that the level at that point is <50% the starting, 2022, value, then that one wins.
If in one year TWO or more jobs decrease to <50%, then whichever one decreased more relative to the original will be deemed the "most decreasing" job.
Also, every year I will update the name of each to display how much it's gone down, and maybe what percentage that is.
I will adjust the deadline as time goes by, until we get a hit.

Bu piyasayla ilgili veri sorunu bildir

Of the top 18 jobs in the US in the year 2022, which one will be first to lose at least 1/2 of its workers?

ChainlinkOne-OffYZ Teknoloji1y

Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibre

Güncel topluluk tahmini

Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers (2022 value: 2.0m) 18.9%

18 seçenek arasında lider

Tahminciler

Soru türü

multiple choice

Yöntem

Play-money forecasting platform

Kaynak türü

Tahmin

7g Değişim

0.0 pts

Piyasa verileri

6 saat önce güncellendi

Guncelligini yitirmis

19 Ara 23 21:33 UTC18 Tem 28 05:59 UTC

Trendler

Sonuç24sOlasılık

İlgili Piyasalar

Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.

Will the US lose measles elimination status in 2026?

Kalshi

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Which publicly traded US companies will do a purely-LLM-performance-based layoff in 2026?

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Exit valuation of Spine AI (YC S23)?

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Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?

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Kurallar

Which of these jobs will be the first to decline to less than 50% the number of workers it had in May, 2022?

So, every year we check the result (looks like the reports are annual, in May) and look at the decrease levels.
If there is a decrease such that the level at that point is <50% the starting, 2022, value, then that one wins.
If in one year TWO or more jobs decrease to <50%, then whichever one decreased more relative to the original will be deemed the "most decreasing" job.
Also, every year I will update the name of each to display how much it's gone down, and maybe what percentage that is.
I will adjust the deadline as time goes by, until we get a hit.

Bu piyasayla ilgili veri sorunu bildir

Sık sorulan sorular

Of the top 18 jobs in the US in the year 2022, which one will be first to lose at least 1/2 of its workers? için güncel oranlar nedir?: Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers (2022 value: 2.0m) için 19% fiyatlıyor.
Of the top 18 jobs in the US in the year 2022, which one will be first to lose at least 1/2 of its workers? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?: Of the top 18 jobs in the US in the year 2022, which one will be first to lose at least 1/2 of its workers? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 18 Temmuz 2028.
Of the top 18 jobs in the US in the year 2022, which one will be first to lose at least 1/2 of its workers? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?: Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Which of these jobs will be the first to decline to less than 50% the number of workers it had in May, 2022?

Of the top 18 jobs in the US in the year 2022, which one will be first to lose at least 1/2 of its workers?

Of the top 18 jobs in the US in the year 2022, which one will be first to lose at least 1/2 of its workers?

Sık sorulan sorular

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