Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiBefore January 1, 2027 82.4%6 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
10
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
6 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis15 Oca 26 21:56 UTC17 Şub 27 02:59 UTC
Trendler
Kurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves based on when sustained large-scale anti-government protests, strikes, and societal shutdown in Iran ends.
- The market resolves YES on the date when ALL of these are met:
- Demonstrations across multiple provinces have largely ended (fewer than 5% of the scale seen in early January 2026)
- Street protests are no longer occurring regularly in major cities
- Protest-related strikes and shop closures have substantially diminished
