Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiLater than 2032 58.2%10 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
17
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
+8.2 pts
Piyasa verileri
14 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis21 Tem 25 00:54 UTC21 Oca 33 00:44 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?
KalshiWill the first person to land on Mars ever return to Earth?
Manifold MarketsWhen will a Starship first land and relaunch without being removed from the launch tower?
Manifold MarketsWill Starship land on the moon before Blue Origin does?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Starlink officially announce an IPO?
KalshiSpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
PolymarketKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the earliest year in which a SpaceX Starship successfully lands on the Martian surface.
- A successful landing is defined as a Starship spacecraft touching down on Mars without catastrophic failure, as confirmed by official SpaceX communications or reputable news outlets.
- If no such landing occurs by the end of 2032, the market will resolve to "the named outcome." If SpaceX announces the cancellation of the Starship Mars program, the market will resolve to "Never."
- Elon Musk, CEO of SpaceX, has outlined ambitious plans for Mars exploration using the Starship spacecraft.
- In September 2024, Musk announced intentions to launch uncrewed Starship missions to Mars in 2026, aiming to test landing capabilities.
Sık sorulan sorular
- When will Starship land on Mars? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 20 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Later than 2032 için 58% fiyatlıyor.
- When will Starship land on Mars? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- When will Starship land on Mars? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 21 Ocak 2033.
- When will Starship land on Mars? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria