When will Starship deploy satellites for the 2nd time? için güncel oranlar nedir?

Manifold Markets, 31 Ekim 2026 itibarıyla 2026 Jul-Dec için 88.9% fiyatlıyor.

When will Starship deploy satellites for the 2nd time? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?

When will Starship deploy satellites for the 2nd time? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2030.

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2026 Jul-Dec 88.9%

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multiple choice

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Guncelligini yitirmis

19 Mar 25 22:06 UTC1 Oca 30 07:59 UTC

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Sonuç24sOlasılık

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At time of writing (2025 March), Starship is still a prototype rocket & has not deployed anything to orbit yet.

This question will resolve when Starship successfully deploys 1+ satellites (eg, Starlink) to orbit AND this has already happened once before.
Motive: This launch should correlate with the end of Starship testing & the start of a useful decrease in price to LEO.
Clarifications:
Starship doing orbital fuel transfer would not count
The satellites must stay on their intended trajectories for at least 24 hours after deployment