Güncel topluluk tahmini
By end of December 2028 87.1%11 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
48
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
1 saat önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli11 Mar 24 08:27 UTC1 Oca 27 12:59 UTC
Trendler
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
When will Starship first deploy a Starlink satellite to orbit?
Manifold MarketsWill anyone die from falling debris from a Space X rocket, satellite , or other launch object before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsBy when will Starship deploy a payload bigger than a Starlink?
Manifold MarketsAST SpaceMobile BlueBird satellites in orbit above __ in Q4 2026?
LimitlessWill SpaceX successfully refuel a Starship in orbit during 2026?
FutuurWill a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit?
KalshiKurallar
Answers resolve YES once SpaceX confirms that a commercial payload* (that had been launched on a Starship) has been successfully deployed to orbit
- Otherwise answers will resolve NO as their dates are reached (or may resolve NO early if sufficiently certain)
- *A commercial payload is any satellite deployed from Starship that was paid for by an entity other than SpaceX - hence Starlink missions and other internal payloads do not count, and nor do payloads that remain within Starship (or Starship itself in cases like the Artemis HLS missions)
- Resolves based on the time of deployment, not the time of launch
- Additional clarifications:
- Payloads designed by SpaceX can count, provided the payload was paid for by an external entity.
Açık piyasalar
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺77,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺76,3 Mn
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°-2.0pt28.7%
- 90° or above+11.0pt26.7%
- 86° to 87°-10.0pt25.7%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+9.0pt31.7%
- 160-179-2.0pt21.1%
- 200-219+5.0pt21.1%
+23 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+36.0pt99%
- Houston+69.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
+19 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺14,6 Mn
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+6.0pt52%
- 65-89+24.5pt45.1%
- 90-114-2.5pt2.9%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 8, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- Next James Bond actor?
Sık sorulan sorular
- When will Starship first deploy a commercial* satellite to orbit? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla By end of December 2028 için 87% fiyatlıyor.
- When will Starship first deploy a commercial* satellite to orbit? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- When will Starship first deploy a commercial* satellite to orbit? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2027.
- When will Starship first deploy a commercial* satellite to orbit? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Answers resolve YES once SpaceX confirms that a commercial payload* (that had been launched on a Starship) has been successfully deployed to orbit