Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini2027 or later 96.3%6 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
34
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
+1.8 pts
Piyasa verileri
9 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis20 Mar 24 02:22 UTC1 Oca 27 04:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
When will Rocket Lab Neutron launch for the first time?
Manifold MarketsRocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
PolymarketWhen will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron
KalshiWhat payloads will the first paid Rocket Lab Neutron launch carry?
Manifold MarketsWill Rocket Lab's Neutron rocket fly 50 times before 2030?
Manifold MarketsHow many launches will Rocket Lab have before 2027?
KalshiKurallar
As of March 19 2024, Rocket Lab is publicly targeting a launch in 2024.
- As of May 2024, Rocket Lab is now targeting 2025.
- Answers will resolve as YES if Neutron lifts off and clears the pad before the respective dates given.
- A successful remainder of the flight is not necessary.
- The flight does not need to be on an orbital trajectory.
Açık piyasalar
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt88.1%
- OpenAI-0.9pt9.9%
- Google+0.1pt2%
+18 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺126,3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺4,1 Mn
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETSpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
- October 3197%
- September 30-3.5pt85%
- Successful splash down?+1.0pt84%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes97%
- No3%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺8,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,1 Mn
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.4pt59.4%
- SpaceX-4.5pt38.5%
- OpenAI+0.3pt2.1%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-4.0pt86%
- Above 9-23.0pt48%
- Above 10-13.0pt18%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
Sık sorulan sorular
- When will Rocket Lab’s Neutron make its first flight? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla 2027 or later için 96% fiyatlıyor.
- When will Rocket Lab’s Neutron make its first flight? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- When will Rocket Lab’s Neutron make its first flight? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2027.
- When will Rocket Lab’s Neutron make its first flight? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: As of March 19 2024, Rocket Lab is publicly targeting a launch in 2024.