Güncel topluluk tahmini
Never, or later than 2050. 54.5%5 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
48
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
12 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis3 Kas 23 02:23 UTC1 Oca 50 14:59 UTC
Trendler
Kurallar
Context: In the recent Dwarkesh Patel interview, Paul Christiano gave an AI capable of building a Dyson Sphere a chance of 15% the named outcome and 40% the named outcome.
- Is this plausible?
- Question: When we will have an AI capable of building a Dyson Sphere?
- Notes: - I will not bet in this market. - Answers will resolve at the date is hit, or we develop AI. - I make rulings on my markets based on the spirit of the question, not the strict rules as written.
