Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminieither usajmo or usamo qual 87.1%9 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
3
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
4 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis19 Ağu 26 03:15 UTC31 Ara 27 23:59 UTC
Trendler
Kurallar
note that I plan on applying to all mentioned programs, and competing in all mentioned competitions. if I am not able to apply to a program or compete in a competition, that choice will be marked as resolved and all mana will be refunded.
- the mop and usa(j)mo markets are separate; if I get mop then both mop and usa(j)mo would be resolved as YES.
- 2026 results:
- yeah that's essentially it
- some extra info: been doing OTIS for ~2.5 months straight now and have finished over 20 units (>75% of the problems completed on each one); 13+ B and 7+ D, with plans to finish all "important" OTIS units at B (already somewhat done) and D level before olympiads roll around, totaling around 60
- [over half of this time was spent at Ross where I wasn't able to focus fully on OTIS]
Açık piyasalar
Science
KALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+10.0pt85%
- Before 203076%
- Before 2029+17.3pt49%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺11 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,3 Mn
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 301%
- April 300%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
- Before 202812%
- Before 2027+0.2pt5%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,6 Mr
- 24s Hacim
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺91,4 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺291,7 B
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+65.0pt99%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETHow many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
- 0-19.0pt47.6%
- 1+24.5pt40.8%
- 3+6.0pt6.8%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- When will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
Sık sorulan sorular
- what will i achieve this year (2027) in terms of math için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla either usajmo or usamo qual için 87% fiyatlıyor.
- what will i achieve this year (2027) in terms of math ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- what will i achieve this year (2027) in terms of math için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2027.
- what will i achieve this year (2027) in terms of math nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: note that I plan on applying to all mentioned programs, and competing in all mentioned competitions. if I am not able to apply to a program or compete in a competition, that choice will be marked as resolved and all mana will be refunded.