Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHas a microphone 99%23 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
40
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
2 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis22 May 25 15:54 UTC31 Ara 26 16:49 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will the OpenAI/Jony Ive device have a screen?
KalshiWhat kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?
KalshiWhen will OpenAI's first consumer hardware device be released? (Jony Ive Sam Altman IO) 🤖📱👀
Manifold MarketsWhat is true of OpenAI's "spud" model?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketKurallar
OpenAI acquired Jony Ive's io to build some kind of AI device.
- What will be true of the first device they release? This refers to whatever the first hardware product OpenAI + io release.
- If they release multiple devices simultaneously, each answer resolves YES if the answer is true of any of the devices.
- Update 2025-06-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the 'Designed to be worn on head' answer:
- Earbuds will be considered as 'worn on head'.
- Update 2026-02-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Market close date will be extended until the device is released or confirmed as cancelled.
Açık piyasalar
AIKALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.1pt68.6%
- ChatGPT-1.9pt15.7%
- Gemini-0.3pt5.9%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺534,9 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺3,8 Mn
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027-3.0pt89%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-5.0pt86%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-8.0pt79%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIOpen Source market share on Sep 14th
- Above 67.5%99%
- Above 72.5%99%
- Above 70%+22.0pt99%
+6 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺3,1 Mn
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt85%
- December 15,-0.5pt85%
- November 30,80%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETWill any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
- 1510+45.5pt100%
- 1520-9.4pt81%
- 1540+0.1pt5%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude90.6%
- Gemini2.8%
- ChatGPT0.9%
+6 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,2 Mn
- Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
Sık sorulan sorular
- What will be true of the OpenAI / Jony Ive device? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 15 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Has a microphone için 99% fiyatlıyor.
- What will be true of the OpenAI / Jony Ive device? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- What will be true of the OpenAI / Jony Ive device? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- What will be true of the OpenAI / Jony Ive device? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: OpenAI acquired Jony Ive's io to build some kind of AI device.