USA and Russia back to bilateral trading in 2026?
EmtiaOne-OffPolitikaABD SiyasetiJeopolitikRusya / UkraynaAvrupaTahviller ve Hazine Bonoları2ay
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 72.5%
Tahminciler
7
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
18 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis6 Oca 26 23:09 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
Kurallar
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if the USA and Russia establish bilateral trade (goods and/or services) in 2026 that was previously prohibited under U.S. sanctions transactions occurring between U.S. and Russian entities in sectors currently restricted, such as energy, defense, financial services, or other sanctioned sectors.
- The market resolves NO if no such new bilateral trade occurs during 2026, or if any resumed trade remains limited to currently exempted categories (e.g., agricultural commodities, enriched uranium under existing licenses, or humanitarian goods).
- Resolution sources: U.S. Treasury Department OFAC sanctions list, U.S. Trade Representative reports, and official trade data from the U.S. Census Bureau.
- Since the February 24, 2022, Russian invasion of Ukraine, the scope and severity of U.S. sanctions and export controls imposed on Russia have expanded significantly.
- U.S. goods and services trade with Russia totaled an estimated $5.2 billion in 2024, down 25.8 percent from 2023, with total goods trade at $3.5 billion.
