Update 2026-05-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment):
New commitments/pledges that are hard to wiggle out of (not just actual grants) can count as evidence for YES resolution, or could at least contribute to a percentage resolution.
Political donations may count if they are primarily directed towards candidates that are running on charitable causes (e.g., animal welfare, AI safety)
Sık sorulan sorular
third wave of philanthropy seems to be happening within a year of anthropic&openai IPO? için güncel oranlar nedir?
Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 70% fiyatlıyor.
third wave of philanthropy seems to be happening within a year of anthropic&openai IPO? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
third wave of philanthropy seems to be happening within a year of anthropic&openai IPO? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Temmuz 2027.
third wave of philanthropy seems to be happening within a year of anthropic&openai IPO? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: work in progress, will we see substantial charitable giving from the EA’s due to the ai labs IPOing?