Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of October? [Polymarket]
One-OffJeopolitikMiddle East1ayManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 93.4%
Tahminciler
13
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
4 dakika önce güncellendi
2 Eyl 26 15:11 UTC31 Eki 26 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
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PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of September? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of September? [Metaculus]
Manifold MarketsKurallar
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and Oct 30, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of October? [Polymarket] için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 93% fiyatlıyor.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of October? [Polymarket] ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of October? [Polymarket] için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Ekim 2026.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of October? [Polymarket] nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and Oct 30, 2026.