Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini≥$1T 100%9 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
24
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
5 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis22 Nis 26 03:49 UTC1 Eki 26 03:59 UTC
Trendler
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
OpenAI highest valuation by end of September 2026
Manifold MarketsAnthropic highest valuation by end of September 2026
Manifold MarketsSpaceX highest valuation by end of September 2027
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketWill Epic Games' valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketWill Kraken's valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketKurallar
Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for SpaceX credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2026-09-30.
- Pre-IPO: valuation is set by primary funding rounds, tender offers, or IPO pricing.
- Secondary transactions between existing investors do not count — they reflect individual trades, not company-endorsed valuation events.
- Post-IPO: valuation = peak market cap between IPO and 2026-09-30 (highest closing share price × shares outstanding at that time).
- ≥$X resolves YES as soon as such a figure meets or exceeds $X; remaining thresholds resolve NO at close.
- Company announcements; SEC filings (S-1, 424B, 10-Q, 10-K); major financial press (The Information, Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ).
Açık piyasalar
Regulation
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+5.0pt46%
- Before Oct 1, 2027+2.0pt37%
- Before Jul 1, 2027+3.0pt34%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺292 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,5 Mn
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.5pt80.2%
- Yes-1.5pt19.8%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺736,3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺4,8 Mn
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+1.5pt91%
- December 15,+4.5pt90%
- November 30,+5.5pt89%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 202798%
- Before Apr 1, 202795%
- Before Feb 1, 202792%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺84,9 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺950,2 B
POLYMARKETDiscord IPO Closing Market Cap
- No IPO by December 31, 2027+26.1pt70.3%
- 11–14B-8.8pt10.9%
- 8–11B-3.9pt5%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWill the cap on gambling loss reduction be repealed?
- Before Jan 1, 202837.6%
- Before Sep 1, 202724.8%
- Before April 1, 202723.1%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺14,9 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
- How many Idaho groundwater rights will be curtailed in 2027?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- Conference to Win the National Championship
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Oklahoma vs Michigan
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Will Alabama cut its state grocery tax again?
- Ohio State vs Texas
- Will Epic Games' valuation hit __ by September 30?
Sık sorulan sorular
- SpaceX highest valuation by end of September 2026 için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 12 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla ≥$1T için 100% fiyatlıyor.
- SpaceX highest valuation by end of September 2026 ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- SpaceX highest valuation by end of September 2026 için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ekim 2026.
- SpaceX highest valuation by end of September 2026 nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for SpaceX credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2026-09-30.