Will someone do something IRL to profit on Manifold that gets news/courts coverage by 2035?
PolitikaOne-OffSuç ve AdaletToplum ve Kültür8yManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 52.4%
Tahminciler
18
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
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1 saat önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli21 May 24 11:25 UTC25 May 35 15:59 UTC
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Kurallar
Resolves YES is someone changes the physical world to win profits on manifold markets before 2035.
- Threshold criteria:
- someone must do something single-handedly that could swing the claim.
- The action must happen in the physical world rather than the digital world.
- The person must make money or mana off of it.
- The incident should be notable enough that it makes the news or lands in the courts.
