KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreSeçili emir defteri orta fiyatı
Before Jan 1, 2029 · —
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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Kayıtlı fiyat
Before Jan 1, 2029 87.5%11 seçenek arasında lider
Before Jan 1, 2029 87.5%Piyasa kalitesi
61 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺295,9 B
Açık pozisyon
$473,2 B
Yüksek açık pozisyonAlış / Satış
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Before Jan 1, 2029Spread
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Piyasa verileri
53 dakika önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli28 Ağu 26 17:00 UTC1 Ara 26 04:59 UTC
Grafik ve değişimler, seçili canlı emir defterini değil kayıtlı geçmiş olasılıkları gösterir.
Trendler
Seçili satır: emir defteri orta fiyatı. Diğer satırlar: normalleştirilmiş olabilen kayıtlı referanslar; 24 saatlik değişimler kayıtlı geçmişi kullanır.
Before Oct 1, 2026Kaybetti
Before Sep 1, 2026Kaybetti
İşlem platformu koşulları
Kaynak: Kalshi
Bu koşullar yalnızca bilgi amaçlıdır; CoinRithm deneme işlemlerinde kendi kurallarını uygular.
- Erken kapanış:
- Evet
- Sonuçlandırma süresi:
- 30m (bilgi amaçlı)
Piyasa derinliği · Before Jan 1, 2029
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?
PolymarketPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
PolymarketPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by which date?
Manifold MarketsWill Pete Hegseth serve a full term as Secretary of Defense (until January 2029)?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Pete Hegseth next be noticably drunk in public as Secretary of Defense?
Manifold MarketsPete Hegseth departure announced?
KalshiKurallar
If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:Pete HegsethThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersU.S. Department of WarDepartment of DefenseCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- Pete Hegseth must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Her sonucun kuralı
- Before Jan 1, 2029
- If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2028
- If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Jul 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2027
- If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Feb 1, 2027
- If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Dec 1, 2026
- If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 1, 2026
- If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2026
- If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Sep 1, 2026
- If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.