KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Before Dec 1, 2026 22%-5.0pt5 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
70 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺344,5 B
Likidite
₺20,7 Mn
Yüksek likiditeSpread
4.0 pt
Orta spreadPiyasa verileri
5 dakika önce güncellendi
28 Ağu 26 17:00 UTC1 Ara 26 04:59 UTC
Trendler
0%
0%
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
PolymarketWill Pete Hegseth serve a full term as Secretary of Defense (until January 2029)?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Pete Hegseth next be noticably drunk in public as Secretary of Defense?
Manifold MarketsWhat will Pete Hegseth say during 60 Minutes?
KalshiPete Hegseth departure announced?
KalshiPete Hegseth's War Thunder account revealed before midterms?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:Pete HegsethThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersDepartment of DefenseCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- Pete Hegseth must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
Açık piyasalar
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance+0.4pt51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt18%
- Tucker Carlson-0.1pt4%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,2 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺64,8 Mn
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.8pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.4pt14%
+48 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No84.2%
- Yes15.8%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺3,2 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺15,4 Mn
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party85.2%
- Republican Party14.8%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,5 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺15 Mn
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+2.7pt66%
- October 31+3.5pt41%
- September 30+5.0pt25%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWhich party will win the House in 2026?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt86.3%
- Republican Party-1.0pt13.7%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺530,4 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺10,7 Mn
- Fed Decision in October?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- What will Trump say during his bilateral with the Taoiseach of Ireland?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Texas Senate winner?
- What will Trump say during The Ingraham Angle?
- Michigan Senate winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 12 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Before Dec 1, 2026 için 22% fiyatlıyor.
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Aralık 2026.
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? başka nerede listeleniyor?
- Aynı soru şu platformlarda da listeleniyor: Polymarket.