KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiKabaca kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılıkBefore Sep 1, 2026 10%+2.8pt4 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
74 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺1,1 Mn
Likidite
₺16 Mn
Yüksek likiditeAlis / Satis
0.8% / 1.5%
Spread
0.7 pt
Dar spreadPiyasa verileri
21 dakika önce guncellendi
7 Nis 26 0:001 Ağu 26 3:59
Trendler
0%
0%
Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir
Seçilen sonuç
Before Aug 1, 20261%
Platformları karşılaştır· Before Sep 1, 2026
Piyasa kalitesine, ardından likidite ve 24s hacme göre sıralanır| Platform | Kalite | Olasılık | referansa göre | 24s Hacim | Likidite | Güncellik | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiBu sayfaGenel en iyi | Orta | 10% | — | ₺1,1 Mn | ₺16 Mn | 21 dakika önce | |
 Polymarket%84 eşleşme · oto | Orta | 100% | — | ₺57,6 B | ₺613 B | 21 dakika önce | Aç → |
Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?
0.1 pts3g
100%
0%
74 • Orta kaliteDar spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim₺5,8 Mn
24s Hacim₺57,6 B
POLYMARKETKurallar
If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Pete Hegseth must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
Hacim trendi
$23.1k2 Tem27g veri28 Tem
İlgili Piyasalar
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
₺49,9 MnRobert F. Kennedy Jr.: 49%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Presidential Election Winner 2028
₺25,4 MnJD Vance: 20%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
₺22,9 MnGavin Newsom: 19%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
What will Trump say this week?
₺13,9 MnWho are you with / Where are you from: 99%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will the SAVE Act become law?
₺9,6 MnEvet: 7%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?
₺5,1 MnEvet: 11%KALSHI
KALSHIBu konularda aktif
İlgili Haberler
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News
White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk
Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News
White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph
Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as Epstein files critique hits tapeBlockchain.News
Dick Durbin accuses Todd Blanche of shielding Trump’s crypto empireCrypto NewsKurallar
If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Pete Hegseth must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.