Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini11.59pm January 2 2029 76.4%+2.1pt6 seçenek arasında lider
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10
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Tahmin
7g Değişim
+2.1 pts
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6 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis24 Eyl 26 08:36 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
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Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?
PolymarketPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
PolymarketPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?
PolymarketPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
KalshiWill Pete Hegseth serve a full term as Secretary of Defense (until January 2029)?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Pete Hegseth next be noticably drunk in public as Secretary of Defense?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
He must have officially left the position, an announcement of a date to depart/resign does not resolve the market yes.
- All times in eastern time
- Out means, cessation of holding the role, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure