SOAI#6: “AI neutrality” emerges as a foreign policy doctrine as some nations cannot or fail to develop sovereign AI
YZOne-Off
Manifold MarketsKapalıKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreBu piyasa sonuçlandı: No (93.9%)
Sonuçlandı: 11 Eki 2026 21:36
Sağlayıcı tarafından doğrulanmış sonuç
CoinRithm bu piyasa için kazanan ve sonuçlanma zamanı konusunda sağlayıcı destekli kanıta sahip.
Kazanan Sonuç
No
7 gün kala
—
24 saat kala
90%
KonsensüsVeri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler
12 Eki 2026 12:02 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Olasılık Zaman Çizelgesi
Yes6.1%
No93.9%
Kazandı
Kaybetti
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will any sovereign-AI deal ≥$10B be announced before 2026-12-31?
Manifold MarketsWill the current Israel-Hamas conflict last ten years, as some senior Israeli officials warned during Biden's trip?
Manifold MarketsWill the Damage by Space Objects "treaty" get upgraded or replaced at least partly by some nations before 2032?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiNext Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
PolymarketKurallar
This market resolves to YES or NO as per the 2026 State of AI Report's self grading of its prediction #6: “AI neutrality” emerges as a foreign policy doctrine as some nations cannot or fail to develop sovereign AI.
- If they do not issue a ruling by EOY 2026, I will resolve by asking Anthropic's best model to evaluate based on their exact wording.