Güncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 75.4%
Tahminciler
21
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
10 dakika önce güncellendi
9 Eki 25 23:03 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
SOAI#2: A major AI lab leans back into open-sourcing frontier models to win over the current US administration
Manifold MarketsSecond-best AI Agent Lab end of October?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI Agent end of October?
PolymarketSecond-best AI Agent Lab end of November?
PolymarketMajor company suffers serious damage from AI agent in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill an AI agent autonomously discover and report a novel security vulnerability (assigned CVE) by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
This market resolves to YES or NO as per the 2026 State of AI Report's self grading of its prediction #1: A major retailer reports >5% of online sales from agentic checkout as AI agent advertising spend hits $5B.
- If they do not issue a ruling by EOY 2026, I will resolve by asking Anthropic's best model to evaluate based on their exact wording.
Açık piyasalar
AI
KALSHITime's Person of the Year for 2026
- Zohran Mamdani-8.0pt23%
- Mark Carney-15.0pt15%
- Donald Trump11%
+37 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺72,4 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺9,3 Mn
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+0.9pt69.9%
- ChatGPT+0.9pt13.6%
- Gemini-1.6pt8.7%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺571,5 Mn
POLYMARKETNext Claude Opus released on?
- September 21+45.5pt84.3%
- September 22-13.1pt5.9%
- September 24-7.0pt2%
+13 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+8.0pt79%
- December 15,+10.0pt75%
- November 30,+8.5pt54%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 202791%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt87%
- Before Feb 1, 2027+1.0pt84%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺107,8 Mn
POLYMARKETWill OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by which date?
- December-13.5pt28%
- October-14.0pt7%
- December 31, 2025-0.2pt0%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Next Claude Opus released by which date?
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- Stanley Cup Finals Winner
- Best AI in Sep 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Sık sorulan sorular
- SOAI#1: A major retailer reports >5% of online sales from agentic checkout as AI agent advertising spend hits $5B. için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 21 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 75% fiyatlıyor.
- SOAI#1: A major retailer reports >5% of online sales from agentic checkout as AI agent advertising spend hits $5B. ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- SOAI#1: A major retailer reports >5% of online sales from agentic checkout as AI agent advertising spend hits $5B. için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- SOAI#1: A major retailer reports >5% of online sales from agentic checkout as AI agent advertising spend hits $5B. nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market resolves to YES or NO as per the 2026 State of AI Report's self grading of its prediction #1: A major retailer reports >5% of online sales from agentic checkout as AI agent advertising spend hits $5B.