Güncel topluluk tahmini
Quantum Mechanics (includes Quantum Computing) 37%12 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
8
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
24 dakika önce güncellendi
2 Oca 26 15:18 UTC30 Eyl 26 14:16 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Chemistry Nobel 2026: Awarded Field(s) Multimarket
Manifold MarketsWill at least one US citizen be awarded the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics?
Manifold MarketsWill a theory of everything (a theory that unites relativity and quantum mechanics) be found in physics by 2040?
Manifold Markets2026 Nobel Physics winner?
KalshiWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiSuper Ballon d'Or awarded before 2030
KalshiKurallar
These independent markets resolve Yes if any of the 2026 Physics Nobels are awarded for work in X, in whole or in large parts.
- Multiple markets can, and probably will, resolve Yes.
- You can request fields I might have forgotten, but I'm not doing too niche things I would have difficulty resolving.
- In case of ambiguity, I will discuss in the comments and might resolve N/A. I have formal education in the field, and will not participate to stay impartial.
- Despite this, there is some element of subjectivity in the resolution.
- I will provide my rationale for resolving, and you can also look at my previous Nobel market to judge my reliability.
Açık piyasalar
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+19.9pt95%
- Before 2030+6.0pt82%
- Before 2029+23.4pt55%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺12,7 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺7,1 Mn
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 202920%
- Before 202813%
- Before 2027+0.3pt5%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,6 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,6 Mn
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2030+71.0pt92%
- Before 2035+11.0pt56%
- Before 203248%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺6,1 Mn
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.9pt3%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺91,4 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺292,1 B
POLYMARKETMin Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- 4.4-4.6m+15.8pt64.4%
- 4.2-4.4m-16.6pt27.9%
- 4.6-4.8m-0.1pt2.9%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- Major volcano eruption in 2026?
- How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
- Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
- US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Physics Nobel 2026: Awarded Field(s) Multimarket için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Quantum Mechanics (includes Quantum Computing) için 37% fiyatlıyor.
- Physics Nobel 2026: Awarded Field(s) Multimarket ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Physics Nobel 2026: Awarded Field(s) Multimarket için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 30 Eylül 2026.
- Physics Nobel 2026: Awarded Field(s) Multimarket nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: These independent markets resolve Yes if any of the 2026 Physics Nobels are awarded for work in X, in whole or in large parts.