Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 90.5%
Tahminciler
24
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
1 saat önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli28 Haz 25 11:03 UTC31 Ara 30 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
ZK tool for demonstrating one has proved math theorem (in Lean) created by EOY2026?
Manifold MarketsWill artificial life be created in the lab before alien life is discovered?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketWill ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsDoes P = NP?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
This market resolves YES if by December 31, 2030 at 11:59 PM UTC, researchers publicly announce and credibly demonstrate the creation of a mirror life form—a synthetic organism that uses the opposite chirality (mirror-image versions) of fundamental biological molecules (e.g., L-amino acids replaced with D-amino acids, and D-sugars replaced with L-sugars) in at least one complete biochemical system, including:
- Genome replication,
- Transcription and translation,
- Energy metabolism,
- Cell membrane formation.
- The created organism must be capable of autonomous replication, at least in controlled laboratory conditions, and demonstrably not reliant on conventional (non-mirrored) life to function or replicate.