Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 65.7%
Tahminciler
4
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
16 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis2 Eyl 25 14:50 UTC31 Ara 39 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsKurallar
Resolves as YES if Emmanuel Macron becomes the leader of the European Union before January 1st 2040.
- Resolution criteria
- What “leader” means (any of these count)
- Head of state or head of government of the European Union or its successor polity (even if largely ceremonial), e.g., President, Prime Minister, Monarch/King/Emperor, Supreme/Paramount Leader, Regent, or military ruler (de facto or de jure).
- Top EU institutional chief whose role is commonly regarded as the EU’s primary political leadership, including President of the European Commission or President of the European Council (or any future office that replaces/combines them into the EU’s apex executive).
- Member of a collective top executive (e.g., co-presidency, triumvirate) where each member is officially a head of state/government of the EU/successor.
Sık sorulan sorular
- Macron leads EU before 2040? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 66% fiyatlıyor.
- Macron leads EU before 2040? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Macron leads EU before 2040? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2039.
- Macron leads EU before 2040? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolves as YES if Emmanuel Macron becomes the leader of the European Union before January 1st 2040.