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CoinRithm

Şirket

Tüzel Kişilik
Bees-x Limited
Şirket Numarası
13308136
Kuruluş Yeri
England and Wales
Kayıtlı Ofis
Monmouth House, High Street, Watford, England, WD17 1LN

CoinRithm, Bees-x Limited tarafından işletilen bir bilgi ve araştırma hizmetidir. Düzenlenmiş faaliyetleri yürütmek üzere Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) tarafından yetkilendirilmemiştir ve bu sitedeki hiçbir içerik finansal tavsiye değildir.

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  1. Tahmin Piyasaları
  2. YZ
  3. Will @NathanpmYoung live to 1000 due to AGI? And if not, why?
Manifold Markets

Will @NathanpmYoung live to 1000 due to AGI? And if not, why?

YZTeknolojiOne-Off974y
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsKYC yok
Güncel topluluk tahmini
Manifold Markets
Dies before AGI has been developed 14%
6 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler

75

Soru türü

multiple choice

Yöntem

Play-money forecasting platform

Kaynak türü

Tahmin

Piyasa verileri

6 gün önce guncellendi

Guncelligini yitirmis
13 Eyl 23 18:031 Oca 00 22:59

Trendler

Sonuç24sOlasılık

Seçilen sonuç

Dies before AGI has been developed14%

Kurallar

https://x.com/NathanpmYoung/status/1435176381143470080 "the year when longevity finally takes off [...] will be just after AGI (if good) or never (if bad or Xrisk)"

Manifold Markets
  • For this market, AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) is defined as a system clearly surpassing human capabilities in most economically valuable tasks.
  • Specifically, this must include all (or almost all) tasks related to aging research.
  • This is a follow-up to this market:
  • https://manifold.markets/Sinclair/will-nathanpmyoung-live-to-1000

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Kurallar

https://x.com/NathanpmYoung/status/1435176381143470080 "the year when longevity finally takes off [...] will be just after AGI (if good) or never (if bad or Xrisk)"

Manifold Markets
  • For this market, AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) is defined as a system clearly surpassing human capabilities in most economically valuable tasks.
  • Specifically, this must include all (or almost all) tasks related to aging research.
  • This is a follow-up to this market:
  • https://manifold.markets/Sinclair/will-nathanpmyoung-live-to-1000