Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 55%
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329
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binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
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Piyasa verileri
12 dakika önce güncellendi
20 Ara 25 02:37 UTC31 Ara 30 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Anthropic flips Apple before 2030?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI flips Apple before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketWill OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketWill Aleph Alpha and Cohere merge in 2026?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
Resolves yes if anthropic is worth more than apple in market capitalization before 2030
- [tweet]Update 2025-12-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Anthropic is private, the market will resolve based on its latest known valuation (not public market capitalization).
- Update 2025-12-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market resolves based on events occurring before the start of 2030 (i.e., before January 1, 2030), not before the end of 2030.
Açık piyasalar
AI
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.1pt68.6%
- ChatGPT-1.9pt15.7%
- Gemini-0.3pt5.9%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺534,9 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺3,8 Mn
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027-3.0pt89%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-5.0pt86%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-8.0pt79%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIOpen Source market share on Sep 14th
- Above 67.5%99%
- Above 72.5%99%
- Above 70%+22.0pt99%
+6 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺3,1 Mn
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt85%
- December 15,-0.5pt85%
- November 30,80%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETWill any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
- 1510+45.5pt100%
- 1520-9.4pt81%
- 1540+0.1pt5%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude90.6%
- Gemini2.8%
- ChatGPT0.9%
+6 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,2 Mn
- Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Anthropic, Apple'ı 2030 öncesinde geçer mi? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 15 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 55% fiyatlıyor.
- Anthropic, Apple'ı 2030 öncesinde geçer mi? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Anthropic, Apple'ı 2030 öncesinde geçer mi? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2030.
- Anthropic, Apple'ı 2030 öncesinde geçer mi? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolves yes if anthropic is worth more than apple in market capitalization before 2030