Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiDecember 31 19%-0.1pt4 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
5
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
-1.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
13 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis1 Eki 26 00:43 UTC13 Oca 27 00:42 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Kash Patel out by which date?
PolymarketKash Patel out as FBI Director?
KalshiKash Patel gone as FBI Director before EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Kash Patel leave office by November 4, 2026?
PredictItKash Patel gone as FBI Director before EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill at least five of the people on Kash Patel's "enemies list" be incarcerated on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
This market will resolve identically to this Polymarket market: Kash Patel out by the named outcome?
- Polymarket rules:
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.