KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreSeçili emir defteri orta fiyatı
Before Jan 1, 2029 · —
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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Kayıtlı fiyat
Before Jan 1, 2029 83.5%11 seçenek arasında lider
Before Jan 1, 2029 83.5%Piyasa kalitesi
54 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺14,2 B
Açık pozisyon
$142,2 B
Yüksek açık pozisyonAlış / Satış
— / —
Before Jan 1, 2029Spread
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Piyasa verileri
16 dakika önce güncellendi
12 Eki 26 18:00 UTC1 Şub 27 04:59 UTC
Grafik ve değişimler, seçili canlı emir defterini değil kayıtlı geçmiş olasılıkları gösterir.
Trendler
Seçili satır: emir defteri orta fiyatı. Diğer satırlar: normalleştirilmiş olabilen kayıtlı referanslar; 24 saatlik değişimler kayıtlı geçmişi kullanır.
Before Oct 1, 2026Kaybetti
Before Sep 1, 2026Kaybetti
Before Nov 1, 2026Kaybetti
İşlem platformu koşulları
Kaynak: Kalshi
Bu koşullar yalnızca bilgi amaçlıdır; CoinRithm deneme işlemlerinde kendi kurallarını uygular.
- Erken kapanış:
- Evet
- Sonuçlandırma süresi:
- 30m (bilgi amaçlı)
Piyasa derinliği · Before Jan 1, 2029
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Kash Patel gone as FBI Director before EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsKash Patel gone as FBI Director before EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsKash Patel out by...? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsKash Patel departure announced?
KalshiWill Kash Patel visit Russia?
KalshiWill at least five of the people on Kash Patel's "enemies list" be incarcerated on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:Kash PatelThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersFederal Bureau of InvestigationCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- Kash Patel must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Her sonucun kuralı
- Before Jan 1, 2029
- If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2028
- If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Jul 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2027
- If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Feb 1, 2027
- If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Dec 1, 2026
- If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2026
- If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Sep 1, 2026
- If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 1, 2026
- If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
- Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut — Kash Patel out by...? · December 31 18%
- Limitless üzerinde de mevcut — Kash Patel out by...? · September 30 50%
