Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 59.3%
Tahminciler
46
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
17 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis25 Kas 25 19:39 UTC31 Ara 26 23:58 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Kash Patel gone as FBI Director before EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsKash Patel out as FBI Director?
KalshiKash Patel out by which date?
PolymarketWill Kash Patel visit Russia before November?
KalshiWill at least five of the people on Kash Patel's "enemies list" be incarcerated on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich people on the Kash Patel list of "Members of the Executive Branch Deep State" from his book will be investigated?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
[image]Resolution criteria
- Kash Patel became the ninth Director of the FBI on February 20, 2025.
- This market resolves YES if Patel is no longer serving as FBI Director before December 31, 2026.
- This includes resignation, removal, or any other departure from the position.
- Resolution will be determined by official FBI leadership announcements or credible news reporting of his departure.
- The market resolves NO if Patel remains FBI Director through December 31, 2026.
Açık piyasalar
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+13.0pt81.2%
- Yes-13.0pt18.8%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺845,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺57,6 Mn
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate+2.0pt49.5%
- D-House, R-Senate-2.0pt33.7%
- R-House, R-Senate-1.0pt14.8%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.1pt19%
- Jon Ossoff+0.8pt17%
- Gavin Newsom+0.6pt13%
+48 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt13%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,6 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺39,1 Mn
KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Karen Bass-2.0pt62.4%
- Nithya Raman+4.0pt37.6%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,5 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺36,1 Mn
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change59.6%
- 25 bps increase35.6%
- 25 bps decrease+0.2pt2.9%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Texas Senate winner?
- What will the White House Press Secretary say in their next press briefing?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- California Governor winner? (Person)
Sık sorulan sorular
- Kash Patel gone as FBI Director before EOY 2026? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 14 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 59% fiyatlıyor.
- Kash Patel gone as FBI Director before EOY 2026? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Kash Patel gone as FBI Director before EOY 2026? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- Kash Patel gone as FBI Director before EOY 2026? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: [image]Resolution criteria