Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler
17 Tem 2026 17:20 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-2
Güncel topluluk tahminiBenjamin Netanyahu 18.3%7 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
7
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
8 gün önce guncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis15 Tem 26 18:5930 Ara 26 23:59
Trendler
Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir
Seçilen sonuç
Benjamin Netanyahu18%
Platformları karşılaştır· Gadi Eizenkot
Piyasa kalitesine, ardından likidite ve 24s hacme göre sıralanır| Platform | Kalite | Olasılık | referansa göre | 24s Hacim | Likidite | Güncellik | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketGenel en iyi%97 eşleşme · oto | Orta | 52% | — | ₺24,5 Mn | ₺102,6 Mn | 3 dakika önce | Aç → |
 Kalshi%83 eşleşme · bağlantılı | Orta | 52% | — | ₺91,5 B | ₺1,9 Mn | 23 dakika önce | Aç → |
 Futuur%68 eşleşme · bağlantılı | Düşük | 53% | — | ₺0 | ₺167,5 B | 23 dakika önce | Aç → |
 Limitless%90 eşleşme · bağlantılı | Düşük | 52% | — | ₺0 | ₺0 | 23 dakika önce | Aç → |
| Manifold Markets%90 eşleşme · bağlantılı | — | 46% | — | — | — | 35 gün önce | Aç → |
| Manifold Markets%78 eşleşme · bağlantılı | — | 51% | — | — | — | 8 gün önce | Aç → |
| Manifold MarketsBu sayfa | — | 48% | — | — | — | 8 gün önce | |
 PredictIt%69 eşleşme · bağlantılı | — | 42% | — | — | — | 23 dakika önce | Aç → |
Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
5ay
+3.5%52%
-2.0%34%
-1.0%7%
+25 daha fazla sonuç
73 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim₺1,4 Mr
24s Hacim₺24,5 Mn
POLYMARKETManifold Markets üzerinde de mevcut
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
3y
46%
23.7%
17.4%
+13 daha fazla sonuç
Topluluk tahmini49 tahminciTür: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSLimitless üzerinde de mevcut
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after next election?
1y
52%
50%
50%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
28 • Düşük kaliteSpread bilinmiyorDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa
Toplam Hacim₺177,1 B
24s Hacim₺0
LIMITLESSKalshi üzerinde de mevcut
Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
2.0%1y
+4.0%52%
-2.0%33%
+8.0%10%
+15 daha fazla sonuç
64 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim₺3,4 Mn
24s Hacim₺91,5 B
KALSHIManifold Markets üzerinde de mevcut
Who will be the Israeli PM after the next election?
3ay
+8.1%51.2%
-0.5%37.5%
-7.6%7.7%
+10 daha fazla sonuç
Topluluk tahmini100 tahminciTür: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSPredictIt üzerinde de mevcut
Who will be the Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
9.0%3y
-9.0%42%
16%
-3.0%9%
+6 daha fazla sonuç
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITFutuur üzerinde de mevcut
Israel’s next prime minister after the 2026 election
3ay
53%
37%
9%
44 • Düşük kaliteSpread bilinmiyorOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim₺47,4 B
24s Hacim₺0
FUTUURKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially sworn in as the Prime Minister of Israel by the Knesset following the next legislative election (scheduled for October 27, 2026, or sooner if a snap election is triggered beforehand).
- "Sworn In" Definition: The resolution will be determined by the first person who successfully forms a government and takes the oath of office in the Knesset.
- In the event of a rotational premiership agreement, the individual who serves as Prime Minister first will be the resolving winner.
- Hung Knesset: This option will resolve to YES if the Knesset elected in the next election fails to form a governing coalition within the legally mandated timeframe.
- A caretaker Prime Minister continuing to serve in an interim capacity during this political deadlock does not count as being sworn in for a new term.
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially sworn in as the Prime Minister of Israel by the Knesset following the next legislative election (scheduled for October 27, 2026, or sooner if a snap election is triggered beforehand).
- "Sworn In" Definition: The resolution will be determined by the first person who successfully forms a government and takes the oath of office in the Knesset.
- In the event of a rotational premiership agreement, the individual who serves as Prime Minister first will be the resolving winner.
- Hung Knesset: This option will resolve to YES if the Knesset elected in the next election fails to form a governing coalition within the legally mandated timeframe.
- A caretaker Prime Minister continuing to serve in an interim capacity during this political deadlock does not count as being sworn in for a new term.