Israel election: Who will be the next prime minister?
2.5 puan (24s)PolitikaOne-OffSeçimMiddle East3ayManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiGadi Eizenkot 44%+2.5pt7 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
9
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
-2.4 pts
Piyasa verileri
10 dakika önce güncellendi
15 Tem 26 18:59 UTC30 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
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Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially sworn in as the Prime Minister of Israel by the Knesset following the next legislative election (scheduled for October 27, 2026, or sooner if a snap election is triggered beforehand).
- "Sworn In" Definition: The resolution will be determined by the first person who successfully forms a government and takes the oath of office in the Knesset.
- In the event of a rotational premiership agreement, the individual who serves as Prime Minister first will be the resolving winner.
- Hung Knesset: This option will resolve to YES if the Knesset elected in the next election fails to form a governing coalition within the legally mandated timeframe.
- A caretaker Prime Minister continuing to serve in an interim capacity during this political deadlock does not count as being sworn in for a new term.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
- Gemini üzerinde de mevcut — Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? · Gadi Eizenkot 60%
- Kalshi üzerinde de mevcut — Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election? · Gadi Eizenkot 61%
- Futuur üzerinde de mevcut — Israel’s next prime minister after the 2026 election · Gadi Eisenkot 60%
- Limitless üzerinde de mevcut — Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after next election? · Gadi Eizenkot 58%
- Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut — Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? · Gadi Eizenkot 59%
- Manifold Markets üzerinde de mevcut — Who will be the Israeli PM after the next election? · Gadi Eisenkot 53%
- PredictIt üzerinde de mevcut — Who will be the Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election? · Gadi Eisenkot 92%
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Israel election: Who will be the next prime minister? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Gadi Eizenkot için 44% fiyatlıyor.
- Israel election: Who will be the next prime minister? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Israel election: Who will be the next prime minister? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 30 Aralık 2026.
- Israel election: Who will be the next prime minister? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria
- Israel election: Who will be the next prime minister? başka nerede listeleniyor?
- Aynı soru şu platformlarda da listeleniyor: Gemini, Kalshi, Futuur, Limitless, Polymarket, Manifold Markets, PredictIt.