Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiNever 71.8%32 seçenek arasında lider
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27
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
10 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis17 Haz 22 22:05 UTC1 Oca 31 04:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will China invade Taiwan by EOY 2030
Manifold MarketsIf China does not invade Taiwan by 2024-12-31, will it invade Taiwan by 2030-12-31?
Manifold MarketsWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
PolymarketWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
PolymarketWill China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
PolymarketWill China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
Resolution criteria: The Associated Press and the New York Times both report that the People's Republic of China has launched a full-scale invasion of Taiwan* Or At least 1000 military personnel from the People's Liberation Army have been deployed to Taiwan for the purpose of putting the sovereignty of the main island under PRC rule.
- *The date that is reported within the articles rather than the date of publication of the articles, will be considered the invasion date.
Açık piyasalar
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.3pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.3pt3%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,3 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺35 Mn
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-7.5pt73%
- September 18-8.0pt67%
- September 11-10.5pt61%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No+4.0pt80.2%
- Yes-4.0pt19.8%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺526,4 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺14,1 Mn
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.2pt49.6%
- October 31-1.0pt29.1%
- September 3012%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.2pt1%
- July 310%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
Sık sorulan sorular
- In what month will China invade Taiwan? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Never için 72% fiyatlıyor.
- In what month will China invade Taiwan? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- In what month will China invade Taiwan? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2031.
- In what month will China invade Taiwan? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria: The Associated Press and the New York Times both report that the People's Republic of China has launched a full-scale invasion of Taiwan* Or At least 1000 military personnel from the People's Liberation Army have been deployed to Taiwan for the purpose of putting the sovereignty of the main island under PRC rule.