Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 53.5%
Tahminciler
5
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
4 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis15 Nis 26 03:42 UTC31 Ara 29 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will at least 4 of Nectome's first 20 clients have significant damage?
Manifold MarketsWill Nectome have at least ten preserved humans by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill a human preserved through cryonics be successfully restored by end of 2075?
Manifold MarketsWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
KalshiWhen will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
KalshiWhich countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
KalshiKurallar
Nectome is a brain preservation startup, comparable to cryonics.
- They are currently debuting their services, which they claim to be much higher quality than other organizations, but they have yet to preserve any clients.
- This market resolves to YES if, in 2029, Nectome publicly releases data or is independently verified to have achieved an ideal preservation rate of 75% or higher for its attempted preservations in the last 12 months or at least 10 total attempted preservations, whichever is higher.
- Otherwise, it resolves to NO.
- (Thus, in June of 2029, if Nectome releases a report indicating that they only had 2 clients that failed to fully perfuse, out of 20 total, that would resolve YES.
- If they have a terrible 2027, but evidence shows they got their act together and had all 14 perfusions in 2029 go ok, that would also be YES.
Açık piyasalar
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+19.9pt95%
- Before 2030+6.0pt82%
- Before 2029+23.4pt55%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺12,7 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺7,1 Mn
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 202920%
- Before 202813%
- Before 2027+0.3pt5%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,6 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,6 Mn
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2030+71.0pt92%
- Before 2035+11.0pt56%
- Before 203248%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺6,1 Mn
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.9pt3%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺91,4 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺292,1 B
POLYMARKETMin Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- 4.4-4.6m+15.8pt64.4%
- 4.2-4.4m-16.6pt27.9%
- 4.6-4.8m-0.1pt2.9%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- Major volcano eruption in 2026?
- How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
- Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
- US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Sık sorulan sorular
- In 2029, will at least 75% of Nectome clients be ideally preserved? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 54% fiyatlıyor.
- In 2029, will at least 75% of Nectome clients be ideally preserved? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- In 2029, will at least 75% of Nectome clients be ideally preserved? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2029.
- In 2029, will at least 75% of Nectome clients be ideally preserved? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Nectome is a brain preservation startup, comparable to cryonics.