Güncel topluluk tahmini
Evet 78%
Tahminciler
372
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
7 dakika önce güncellendi
28 Oca 24 04:34 UTC2 Oca 28 07:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
Manifold MarketsIn 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt, with human aid?
Manifold MarketsIn 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt, with human aid?
Manifold MarketsTime's Person of the Year for 2026
KalshiWhich companies will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series before 2027?
KalshiTIME Person of the Year 2026
PolymarketKurallar
Same as the main market but the AI must only be at the level of the worst filmmakers, rather than the best.
- So instead of a Marvel movie level of quality, think The Room level of quality.
- That's the yardstick that I will be using.
- Alternatively it can be any other well-known bad movie, like Birdemic or Who Killed Captain Alex.
- It doesn't need to have the "so bad it's good" qualities of The Room, but it needs to have a minimally coherent plot structure and cinematography.
- It must not be too painful for humans to watch the entire thing, and it needs to have the basics like characters say and do things that advance the plot, at least usually.
Açık piyasalar
EntertainmentKALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,1 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,1 Mn
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+6.5pt73.3%
- 940 - 950m-5.5pt22.8%
- 970m++0.6pt2%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+15.0pt57%
- Jack Barton-13.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-10.0pt16%
+27 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺102,2 Mn
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+29.4pt51.4%
- No Bond chosen-3.9pt18.1%
- Jack Barton-4.5pt7.6%
+21 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-58.0pt16%
- Above 50-61.0pt4%
- Above 55-51.0pt2%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺4,6 Mn
KALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey-3.0pt39.2%
- Dune: Part Three-1.0pt9.6%
- The Black Ball-1.0pt8.8%
+35 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺238,3 Mn
- Big Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series
Sık sorulan sorular
- In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full low-quality movie to a prompt? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 78% fiyatlıyor.
- In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full low-quality movie to a prompt? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full low-quality movie to a prompt? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 2 Ocak 2028.
- In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full low-quality movie to a prompt? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Same as the main market but the AI must only be at the level of the worst filmmakers, rather than the best.