If Trump wins, what will the US unemployment rate be at the end of 2026? için güncel oranlar nedir?

Manifold Markets, 25 Ekim 2026 itibarıyla No için 56% fiyatlıyor.

If Trump wins, what will the US unemployment rate be at the end of 2026? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?

If Trump wins, what will the US unemployment rate be at the end of 2026? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 2 Şubat 2027.

Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If Trump does not win the 2024 US presidential election, resolves N/A.

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25 Eki 2026 20:40 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4

Güncel topluluk tahmini

Hayır 56%

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9 saat önce güncellendi

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11 Mar 24 05:35 UTC2 Şub 27 07:59 UTC

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If Trump does not win the 2024 US presidential election, resolves N/A.

For example, an unemployment rate of 3.9% would result in a "39%" resolution on this question, and so on.
An unemployment rate of 10% or higher results in a "Yes" resolution on this question.
I will use BLS's seasonally-adjusted civilian unemployment rate, as here: https://www.bls.gov/charts/employment-situation/civilian-unemployment-rate.htm# I'll use the last published datapoint for 2026.
(I'll wait until February 2027 in case of revisions, and use the most recent revision at that time.)