If Trump wins the 2024 US presidential election, will cannabis be decriminalized or legalized by the midterms?
PolitikaOne-OffHealth & MedicineUS PoliticsSeçim1ayManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 84.2%
Tahminciler
35
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
4 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis10 Mar 24 09:51 UTC4 Kas 26 04:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
US Presidential Election Winner in 2028
FutuurWill Joe Biden survive through the end of 2028 if Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump wins, will the US suicide rate decrease between his inauguration and the 2026 Midterms?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump wins, will the US homicide rate decrease?
Manifold Markets2028 US Presidential Election: Winner
Robinhood (Rothera)Who will win the 2028 US presidential election?
PredictItKurallar
Resolves YES if Donald Trump is elected president in the 2024 presidential elections AND a federal law is enacted that legalizes cannabis or removes criminal penalties for the possession of cannabis for personal use by Tuesday, November 3rd, 2026.
- Resolves NO if Donald Trump is elected president in the 2024 presidential election AND no federal laws are enacted that legalize cannabis or remove criminal penalties for the possession of cannabis for personal use by November 3rd, 2026.
- Resolves N/A if Donald Trump is not elected president in 2024 or if a federal law is enacted that legalizes cannabis or removes criminal penalties for the possession of cannabis for personal use prior to the election on November 5th, 2024.
- Sister market:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/Athena/if-biden-wins-the-2024-us-president)Update 2025-09-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - For this market, "federal law enacted" is interpreted broadly: any nationwide decision that legalizes cannabis or removes criminal penalties for personal possession will resolve YES.
- Examples that qualify (must apply nationwide):
Açık piyasalar
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺39,1 Mn
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.8pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34 Mr
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.3pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.2pt3%
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt14.1%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,3 Mr
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 daha fazla sonuç
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Sık sorulan sorular
- If Trump wins the 2024 US presidential election, will cannabis be decriminalized or legalized by the midterms? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 84% fiyatlıyor.
- If Trump wins the 2024 US presidential election, will cannabis be decriminalized or legalized by the midterms? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- If Trump wins the 2024 US presidential election, will cannabis be decriminalized or legalized by the midterms? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 4 Kasım 2026.
- If Trump wins the 2024 US presidential election, will cannabis be decriminalized or legalized by the midterms? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolves YES if Donald Trump is elected president in the 2024 presidential elections AND a federal law is enacted that legalizes cannabis or removes criminal penalties for the possession of cannabis for personal use by Tuesday, November 3rd, 2026.