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25 Eki 2026 14:28 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Güncel topluluk tahminiEvet 90.7%
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18 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis10 Mar 24 17:05 UTC3 Kas 26 07:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
If Trump wins, will the US suicide rate decrease between his inauguration and the 2026 Midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill any of the following Western countries experience a national homicide rate above 10 per 100,000 per year before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the cop who shot Nahel M. be found guilty of homicide?
Manifold MarketsWill any January 6th participant pardoned/commuted by Trump be responsible for a homicide before 1/20/2027?
Manifold MarketsTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
PolymarketTrump out as President before 2027?
PolymarketKurallar
According to a report by the Council on Criminal Justice, peak in 2023 was 1.8 per 100,000 population, averaged across 18 metros:
- https://infogram.com/ct_report-homicide-1hmr6g7pmkyqo6n
- https://counciloncj.org/year-end-2023-crime-trends/
- Resolved based on the CCJ’s 2026 report, published after the 2026 midterm elections.
- Market closes just before the 2026 midterms.
- Update 14 Mar 24: This market resolves NA if Trump doesn’t win.
