Will any January 6th participant pardoned/commuted by Trump be responsible for a homicide before 1/20/2027?
PolitikaOne-OffABD SiyasetiSuç ve Adalet2ayManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 62.3%
Tahminciler
9
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
14 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis24 Oca 25 20:54 UTC21 Oca 27 04:59 UTC
Trendler
Kurallar
Background President Trump has the pardoned or commuted the sentences of individuals involved in the January 6th Capitol riot, including individuals convicted for violent acts that occurred during those events.
- Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if:
- Any pardoned/commuted individual is found legally responsible (through conviction or guilty plea) for a homicide that occurs between their pardon/commutation and January 20, 2027
- The homicide can be of any type (first degree, second degree, manslaughter, etc.)
- The market will resolve NO if:
- No pardoned/commuted January 6th participant is found legally responsible for a homicide during the specified timeframe
