Güncel topluluk tahmini
Other 47.3%4 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
22
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
3 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis3 Tem 24 01:56 UTC22 Oca 29 04:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump be President at any point in 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill 110 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day while Trump is President?
Manifold MarketsWill an AI professional-impersonation bill become law in New York?
KalshiU.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
PolymarketWill the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?
KalshiKurallar
Resolves to “the named outcome” if the named outcome, otherwise to name of individual appointee.
- If Trump ceases being President for any reason, will be the successor President(s) within same presidential term.
- Update 2025-12-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve to a confirmed appointee in the Director role, not an Acting director or someone serving under a Presidential Delegated Duty (PDD).
- Acting directors do not qualify for resolution.
Açık piyasalar
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺39,1 Mn
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.8pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34 Mr
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.3pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.2pt3%
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt14.1%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,3 Mr
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 daha fazla sonuç
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Sık sorulan sorular
- If Trump is President in 2025, who will be his first appointee to lead the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Other için 47% fiyatlıyor.
- If Trump is President in 2025, who will be his first appointee to lead the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- If Trump is President in 2025, who will be his first appointee to lead the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 22 Ocak 2029.
- If Trump is President in 2025, who will be his first appointee to lead the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolves to “the named outcome” if the named outcome, otherwise to name of individual appointee.