Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini🇮🇷 Iran 53.9%10 seçenek arasında lider
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42
Soru türü
multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Tahmin
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14 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis4 Mar 26 12:37 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will there be a Nuclear Explosion by 2030
Manifold MarketsWill there be a nuclear war before 2100?
Manifold MarketsWill there be nuclear powered supersonic airplanes by 2100?
Manifold MarketsWill there be more nuclear warheads in the world in 2030 than 2023?
Manifold MarketsWhich Chinese tech companies announce a formal AI partnership with a Russian entity before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Canada sign a binding procurement contract for the Saab Gripen fighter before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
If there is a nuclear detonation in 2026, resolves YES to all countries listed that detonate nuclear weapons in 2026, and NO to all countries that didn't.
- Otherwise, all options resolve N/A. Update 2026-03-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Nuclear tests (non-combat detonations) count toward resolution, not just wartime use.
