If Russia does NOT annex Ukraine before 2024, will Ukraine's 2030 real GDP be over 180bn USD (in 2020 US dollars)?
EkonomiOne-OffJeopolitikRusya / Ukrayna5y
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıKaynak verileri bozulmuş
23 Eki 2026 21:45 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
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Play-money forecasting platform
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4 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis23 Şub 22 08:47 UTC1 Oca 32 04:59 UTC
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Update 2024-Jan-06:
- I don't think Ukraine counts as "annexed", so I resolved the other market to NA.
- We can re-open this market, and extend the date until 2031 (or whenever GDP data is available for 2030).
- Original Criteria
- This is part of a conditional forecast.
- This version is about Ukraine's GDP given Russian NOT annexing them this year.
