Donald Trump 2024'te kazanırsa, 2025 görevi sonunda Çin ile ABD arasında savaş çıkmış olacak mı?
PolitikaOne-OffABD SiyasetiSeçimJeopolitikÇin2yManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 94.8%
Tahminciler
60
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
3 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis10 Ara 23 12:03 UTC1 Şub 29 22:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
China and USA form an AI coalition by EOY 2028
Manifold MarketsWill the International Criminal Court (ICC) rule that Donald Trump is a war criminal at anytime during his current term?
Manifold MarketsIf China invades Taiwan while Donald Trump is president, will the U.S. go to war with China?
Manifold MarketsIf the US fights a major war with China, will the US win?
Manifold MarketsWill China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill the US formally notify a new arms sale to Taiwan (DSCA/TECRO) by November 30, 2026?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
War as defined by the Uppsala Conflict Data Program is "A state-based conflict or dyad which reaches at least 1000 battle-related deaths in a specific calendar year"
- This will resolve YES for any war in which China and the USA are directly and kinetically involved on opposing sides.
- "Wins in 2024" refers to the 2024 presidential election.
- If Trump loses, this market will be refunded.
- Sister market:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/Symmetry/if-joe-biden-wins-in-2024-will-a-wa)
