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If China invades Taiwan, will the United States intervene directly?
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Manifold MarketsIf China invades Taiwan, will the United States intervene directly?
Manifold MarketsIf China invades Taiwan will they try to cut off the US from Fentanyl?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketWill the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
Ukraine has shown how challenging it can be for a larger power to take over a smaller one that really doesn't want to be taken over and has the support of the West.
- Will the same thing happen to Taiwan?
- Resolves YES if Taiwan becomes unambiguously a part of China due to forceful takeover by China.
- Resolves NO if Chinia attempts to invade Taiwan and is rebuffed.
- Resolves N/A if China or Taiwan stop existing in their current forms.
- (Other than Taiwan being incorperated into China by force.