Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 78.8%
Tahminciler
10
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
3 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis6 May 26 12:17 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Where will the next Manifest X be after Manifest X DC?
Manifold MarketsWill there be an official Manifest or Manifest x in NYC by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill ASI be achieved before a surgery takes place on the moon
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketTop AI model in September?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketKurallar
N/A if ASI is not achieved before then.
Açık piyasalar
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-5.0pt61.6%
- 202730.3%
- 2026-4.5pt8.1%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺13,8 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺6 Mn
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-2.4pt59.2%
- ChatGPT+1.9pt24.3%
- Grok-0.9pt6.8%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺516,8 Mn
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,-3.5pt86%
- November 30,-1.5pt84%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+8.0pt79%
- claude-opus-5-max+2.0pt5%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking+1.0pt5%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+1.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-4.0pt94%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETGemini 4.0 released by which date?
- November 30-3.0pt87%
- October 31-5.0pt72%
- September 30-16.5pt12%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Tencent market share this week
- Best AI in Sep 2026?
- Anthropic market share this week
- OpenAI market share this week
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- DeepSeek market share this week
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Most popular AI this week
Sık sorulan sorular
- If ASI is achieved before Manifest 2027, will Manifest 2027 occur? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 79% fiyatlıyor.
- If ASI is achieved before Manifest 2027, will Manifest 2027 occur? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- If ASI is achieved before Manifest 2027, will Manifest 2027 occur? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- If ASI is achieved before Manifest 2027, will Manifest 2027 occur? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: N/A if ASI is not achieved before then.