Güncel topluluk tahmini
Completely unspecified (US government confidently asserts aliens exist but provide no further information) 42.9%5 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
30
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
1 saat önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli24 Şub 26 19:02 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
What will be true about the next person confirmed to the US Supreme Court [Mega Market]?
Manifold MarketsWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Manifold MarketsNASA confirms aliens before 2027?
Manifold MarketsConfirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...
PolymarketKurallar
Resolves to an option IF EITHER the Kalshi or Polymarket question on U.S. confirmation of aliens resolves YES in 2026.
- https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaliens/aliens/kxaliens-27
- https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027
- NOTE: neither of these markets requires aliens to actually exist.
- They just require a cabinet member or federal agency to definitively state that aliens exist.
- If both resolve NO, then this resolves to N/A.
Açık piyasalar
Space
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes91.6%
- No8.4%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺13,7 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺13,6 Mn
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.5pt98%
- Google-0.9pt1%
- OpenAI-0.8pt1%
+18 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺169,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺3,2 Mn
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 793%
- Above 8-17.0pt38%
- Above 9-3.0pt9%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺14,2 Mn
KALSHIMTV Video Music Awards 2026: Who will perform
- Raye+55.0pt99%
- Any member of GENER8ION+73.0pt99%
- Madonna+11.0pt99%
+24 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+1.4pt54.4%
- SpaceX44.7%
- OpenAI-0.1pt1%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHISpaceX Starship 14th launch?
- Before Oct 16, 2026+4.0pt98%
- Before Oct 1, 2026-16.0pt76%
- Before Sep 23, 20261%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,4 Mn
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Next Grok Model (4.7+): Text Arena Debut?
- Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of September?
Sık sorulan sorular
- If aliens are "confirmed" by the US in 2026, which kind of aliens will they be? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 17 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Completely unspecified (US government confidently asserts aliens exist but provide no further information) için 43% fiyatlıyor.
- If aliens are "confirmed" by the US in 2026, which kind of aliens will they be? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- If aliens are "confirmed" by the US in 2026, which kind of aliens will they be? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- If aliens are "confirmed" by the US in 2026, which kind of aliens will they be? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolves to an option IF EITHER the Kalshi or Polymarket question on U.S. confirmation of aliens resolves YES in 2026.