Güncel ima edilen olasılık
1450+ 60%6 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
25 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
—
Likidite
₺28,1 B
Düşük likiditeSpread
66.0 pt
Geniş spreadYorumlar
0
Piyasa verileri
10 dakika önce güncellendi
4 Eyl 26 00:16 UTC30 Haz 27 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena)
PolymarketOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
PolymarketNext Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?
PolymarketWhich AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
KalshiWill aliens make a public debut before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. publish the text of its Saudi nuclear agreement by December 31?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next SpaceXAI Grok model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify.
- Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
- Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Açık piyasalar
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+55.0pt66%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
- claude-opus-5-high4%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺7,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,7 Mn
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-2.2pt59.6%
- ChatGPT-0.9pt25%
- Grok-2.0pt6.7%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺510,9 Mn
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt89%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+24.0pt76%
- 2027+21.0pt44%
- 2026+6.0pt12%
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+2.0pt78%
- ChatGPT+3.0pt13.8%
- Grok2.8%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺18,1 Mn
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-1.0pt68%
- 1490+-4.0pt51%
- 1500+-1.5pt30%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Next Grok Model (4.7+): Text Arena Debut? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Polymarket, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla 1450+ için 60% fiyatlıyor.
- Next Grok Model (4.7+): Text Arena Debut? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Next Grok Model (4.7+): Text Arena Debut? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 30 Haziran 2027.
- Next Grok Model (4.7+): Text Arena Debut? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Polymarket bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next SpaceXAI Grok model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard.