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25 Eki 2026 21:52 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
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Will cause extinction, foom 45.1%8 seçenek arasında lider
Will cause extinction, foom 45.1%Tahminciler
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Guncelligini yitirmis29 Ara 23 13:14 UTC1 Oca 01 04:59 UTC
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Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
If AGI causes human extinction before 2100, which type of misalignment will be the biggest cause?
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KalshiKurallar
This is a duplicate of this question but with the "will not cause extinction" answer removed.
- If humanity is not extinct in 2100 (or if the extinction was caused by something other than AI), this question will resolve n/a.
- Please try to identify which of the following scenarios will be the "main" cause for human extinction:
- Foom: rapidly self-improving AI destroys humanity as a result of pursuing some misaligned goal
- Terminator: AI blatantly disregards human instructions and pursues its own goals.
- Alignment Failure: AI appears superficially good but causes extinction due to a subtly misstated goal.